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Red72
45120.9
3322.9
120.3
Blue4
4482.6
86210.0
13222.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35170406080100724

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
Unranked
22.93.3
14.517.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.0
862
Unranked
10.01.3
6.75.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
451
Unranked
20.93.3
8.912.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.3
448
Unranked
2.61.3
6.45.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1
Unranked
20.33.3
9.112.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.1
1322
Unranked
2.21.3
6.35.1
Auto
Teleop
End