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Red53
15023.5
9049.7
121315.4
Blue23
101511.4
4533.6
13222.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2215010304050605323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1213
Unranked
15.42.5
12.815.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
1015
Unranked
11.40.6
11.411.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
904
Unranked
9.72.5
7.29.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
453
Unranked
3.60.5
3.13.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1502
Unranked
3.52.5
1.03.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1322
Unranked
2.20.5
1.62.2
Auto
Teleop
End