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Red60
150328.4
111431.3
678.1
Blue19
154914.2
6618.2
689.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73390501001502006019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
Unranked
31.30.2
31.631.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.1
66
Unranked
18.20.6
18.818.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1503
Unranked
28.40.2
28.628.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.2
1549
Unranked
14.20.6
14.814.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
67
Unranked
8.10.2
8.48.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
68
Unranked
9.40.6
10.09.4
Auto
Teleop
End