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Red56
175621.0
11127.5
18109.5
Blue41
14119.9
7127.5
177510.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59583040507080905641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
Unranked
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
71
Unranked
27.50.3
27.827.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1756
Unranked
21.00.0
21.121.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
141
Unranked
19.90.3
20.219.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1810
Unranked
9.50.0
9.69.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1775
Unranked
10.70.3
11.010.7
Auto
Teleop
End