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Red1
17394.4
87614.5
10114.2
Blue46
14119.9
64816.3
7127.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21490406080100146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
Unranked
14.52.0
10.68.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.1
71
Unranked
27.50.0
18.718.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
101
Unranked
14.22.0
7.05.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
141
Unranked
19.90.0
15.615.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1739
Unranked
4.42.0
7.35.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.9
648
Unranked
16.30.0
11.411.4
Auto
Teleop
End