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Qual 22006 Midwest Regional
Red17
85815.6
152511.5
18507.7
Blue8
18109.5
17815.3
7421.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27280102040506070178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
Unranked
15.60.9
9.8→9.0
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Teleop—
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blue by 5.5
74
Unranked
21.11.7
16.1→14.4
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Teleop—
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Second
1525
Unranked
11.50.9
11.6→10.8
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Teleop—
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red by 2.0
1810
Unranked
9.55.5
9.8→4.3
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Teleop—
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Third
1850
Unranked
7.72.6
7.7→5.1
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Teleop—
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red by 2.4
1781
Unranked
5.33.1
7.3→4.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—