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Red22
152511.5
98.8
177510.7
Blue32
17394.4
124311.5
175621.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322501020405060702232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1525
Unranked
11.50.8
9.89.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.5
1756
Unranked
21.00.5
14.515.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1775
Unranked
10.70.8
6.65.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1243
Unranked
11.50.3
6.97.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
9
Unranked
8.80.8
14.914.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
1739
Unranked
4.40.5
4.34.9
Auto
Teleop
End