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Red55
64816.3
85815.6
15810.2
Blue23
173213.8
173612.8
17815.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33340102040506070805523

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
648
Unranked
16.31.8
16.918.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1732
Unranked
13.80.9
13.112.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
858
Unranked
15.61.8
9.911.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
1736
Unranked
12.80.9
12.711.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
158
Unranked
10.21.1
6.07.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
1781
Unranked
5.30.9
8.37.4
Auto
Teleop
End