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Red29
64816.3
152511.5
17706.6
Blue12
124311.5
17815.3
17553.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions462004060801001202912

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
648
Unranked
16.31.1
22.121.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
1243
Unranked
11.50.6
9.28.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1525
Unranked
11.51.1
12.411.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
1781
Unranked
5.30.9
8.27.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1770
Unranked
6.61.1
8.27.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
1755
Unranked
3.70.9
5.64.7
Auto
Teleop
End