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Red15
14119.9
152511.5
17706.6
Blue0
173213.8
17394.4
17815.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41250206080100150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
Unranked
19.91.2
20.319.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
1732
Unranked
13.82.0
13.611.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1525
Unranked
11.51.7
11.39.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
1781
Unranked
5.32.0
7.45.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1770
Unranked
6.61.8
7.05.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
1739
Unranked
4.42.0
6.24.3
Auto
Teleop
End