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Red0
177510.7
173213.8
18056.1
Blue28
18109.5
173612.8
175621.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16230406080100028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
Unranked
13.81.4
5.84.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
1756
Unranked
21.00.5
8.59.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1775
Unranked
10.71.4
5.94.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
1736
Unranked
12.80.5
9.510.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1805
Unranked
6.11.4
5.03.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
1810
Unranked
9.50.5
4.34.8
Auto
Teleop
End