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Red43
29218.3
150116.7
17417.6
Blue42
86813.0
39312.4
176014.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4539102030506070804342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
Unranked
18.30.0
19.018.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
1760
Unranked
14.10.0
14.114.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1501
Unranked
16.70.0
17.417.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
868
Unranked
13.00.0
12.913.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1741
Unranked
7.60.0
8.28.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
393
Unranked
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto
Teleop
End