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Red53
101818.4
103821.6
4478.9
Blue15
46115.7
5549.9
174714.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514002060801005315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1038
Unranked
21.60.0
22.022.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
461
Unranked
15.70.4
16.115.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1018
Unranked
18.40.0
18.818.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
1747
Unranked
14.60.4
15.014.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
447
Unranked
8.90.0
9.39.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
554
Unranked
9.90.4
10.39.9
Auto
Teleop
End