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Red34
46115.7
17207.4
150116.7
Blue33
176014.1
15296.5
174714.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25280204060803433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
Unranked
16.70.7
8.79.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1747
Unranked
14.60.3
14.214.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
461
Unranked
15.70.5
10.811.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1760
Unranked
14.10.4
8.79.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1720
Unranked
7.40.7
5.96.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1529
Unranked
6.50.4
4.95.3
Auto
Teleop
End