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Red4
39312.4
16544.7
16466.9
Blue17
86813.0
17207.4
131911.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26271020405060417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
393
Unranked
12.41.1
12.511.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
868
Unranked
13.00.5
12.912.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1646
Unranked
6.91.1
9.58.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
1319
Unranked
11.70.5
7.67.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1654
Unranked
4.71.8
4.12.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
1720
Unranked
7.40.8
6.75.9
Auto
Teleop
End