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Red61
176014.1
131911.7
82912.6
Blue42
17668.4
17207.4
26910.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3021010405060706142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1760
Unranked
14.12.7
12.114.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
269
Unranked
10.31.7
11.513.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
829
Unranked
12.62.7
9.312.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
1766
Unranked
8.41.7
4.46.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1319
Unranked
11.71.6
7.18.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
1720
Unranked
7.41.7
5.97.5
Auto
Teleop
End