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Red50
17668.4
86813.0
102424.7
Blue77
29218.3
101818.4
155510.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483602060801001205077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
Unranked
24.70.2
24.324.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
1018
Unranked
18.42.0
18.620.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
868
Unranked
13.00.2
14.214.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
292
Unranked
18.33.1
12.315.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1766
Unranked
8.40.3
8.18.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
1555
Unranked
10.83.1
6.89.9
Auto
Teleop
End