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Red40
155510.8
17207.4
4511.8
Blue12
15025.5
176014.1
15296.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32300204060804012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
Unranked
11.80.5
11.612.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
1760
Unranked
14.11.1
15.214.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1555
Unranked
10.80.5
10.911.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
1529
Unranked
6.51.1
7.66.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1720
Unranked
7.40.5
9.510.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
1502
Unranked
5.50.9
7.76.7
Auto
Teleop
End