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Red51
165717.8
157413.3
19553.2
Blue10
194712.5
19433.7
19572.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35190103040506070805110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1657
Unranked
17.80.4
17.217.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
1947
Unranked
12.50.2
13.213.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1574
Unranked
13.30.4
12.813.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
1943
Unranked
3.70.2
4.44.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1955
Unranked
3.20.4
2.63.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1957
Unranked
2.80.2
3.53.2
Auto
Teleop
End