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Red21
15776.6
19483.9
157811.9
Blue18
19495.3
16904.2
19377.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25120204060801002118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1578
Unranked
11.90.2
11.311.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
1937
Unranked
7.50.3
4.95.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1577
Unranked
6.60.2
8.98.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1949
Unranked
5.30.3
4.65.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1948
Unranked
3.90.2
3.33.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1690
Unranked
4.20.3
4.44.7
Auto
Teleop
End