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Red8
19463.3
19553.2
19445.8
Blue31
19522.0
19513.5
194712.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112003040506070831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1944
Unranked
5.80.4
3.93.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
1947
Unranked
12.51.0
8.89.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1946
Unranked
3.30.4
5.55.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1951
Unranked
3.51.0
5.96.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1955
Unranked
3.20.4
2.82.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1952
Unranked
2.01.0
4.25.2
Auto
Teleop
End