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Red1
15806.1
19377.5
19454.6
Blue20
15796.4
19495.3
19522.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1718010304050120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1937
Unranked
7.53.0
7.54.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1579
Unranked
6.40.3
6.46.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1580
Unranked
6.11.5
6.14.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1949
Unranked
5.30.9
5.36.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1945
Unranked
4.60.1
4.64.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1952
Unranked
2.04.2
2.06.1
Auto
Teleop
End