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Red25
157413.3
16904.2
19545.7
Blue6
158210.7
19463.3
19522.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172201030405060256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1574
Unranked
13.30.6
8.79.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
1582
Unranked
10.71.3
11.210.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1954
Unranked
5.70.6
4.55.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1946
Unranked
3.31.3
4.63.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1690
Unranked
4.20.6
4.45.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
1952
Unranked
2.01.3
5.24.0
Auto
Teleop
End