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Red13
19454.6
15765.7
19495.3
Blue19
19572.8
165717.8
19553.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17180102030401319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1576
Unranked
5.70.4
8.88.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.1
1657
Unranked
17.80.2
10.911.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1949
Unranked
5.30.4
4.54.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1955
Unranked
3.20.2
1.21.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1945
Unranked
4.60.4
4.44.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1957
Unranked
2.80.2
4.95.1
Auto
Teleop
End