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Red11
19495.3
19545.7
19572.8
Blue48
15806.1
165717.8
158210.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122902040506070801148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1954
Unranked
5.70.3
5.14.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.1
1657
Unranked
17.81.8
11.112.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1949
Unranked
5.30.3
4.13.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
1582
Unranked
10.71.8
10.011.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1957
Unranked
2.80.3
5.14.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
1580
Unranked
6.11.8
5.47.2
Auto
Teleop
End