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Red48
15776.6
158210.7
19513.5
Blue28
19572.8
157413.3
194214.1
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221704060801004828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1582
Unranked
10.72.5
10.78.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
1942
Unranked
14.19.1
15.96.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1577
Unranked
6.62.2
9.812.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
1574
Unranked
13.30.9
5.66.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1951
Unranked
3.54.6
3.58.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1957
Unranked
2.84.0
2.86.8
Auto
Teleop
End