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Red22
19445.8
15776.6
19545.7
Blue8
19433.7
19572.8
15796.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19160103040506070228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1577
Unranked
6.60.2
7.37.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1579
Unranked
6.40.5
7.26.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1944
Unranked
5.80.3
5.75.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1943
Unranked
3.70.6
5.04.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1954
Unranked
5.70.2
5.65.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
1957
Unranked
2.80.5
4.03.5
Auto
Teleop
End