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Red5
19463.3
19506.3
19522.0
Blue40
19483.9
165717.8
19377.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102802040506070540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1950
Unranked
6.30.5
6.96.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
1657
Unranked
17.80.9
15.416.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1946
Unranked
3.30.5
2.92.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
1937
Unranked
7.51.0
6.87.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1952
Unranked
2.00.5
2.72.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
1948
Unranked
3.91.0
3.84.8
Auto
Teleop
End