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Red24
158210.7
15734.2
19463.3
Blue15
19495.3
19513.5
19433.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20210103040502415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1582
Unranked
10.70.3
8.18.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
1949
Unranked
5.30.4
6.15.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1573
Unranked
4.22.1
4.26.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1943
Unranked
3.71.8
3.75.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1946
Unranked
3.30.3
6.36.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1951
Unranked
3.50.4
8.17.7
Auto
Teleop
End