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Red0
194214.1
19483.9
19553.2
Blue11
157413.3
19454.6
19563.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18180103040011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1942
Unranked
14.11.5
6.85.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1574
Unranked
13.30.5
6.55.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1948
Unranked
3.90.5
3.94.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1945
Unranked
4.60.5
5.55.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1955
Unranked
3.21.5
5.54.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1956
Unranked
3.00.5
5.65.0
Auto
Teleop
End