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Red29
56913.3
15546.4
35827.9
Blue13
12038.7
2879.6
18085.5
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3021010405060702913

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
Unranked
27.90.0
15.315.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.4
287
Unranked
9.60.6
8.17.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
569
Unranked
13.30.0
8.88.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
1203
Unranked
8.70.8
9.08.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1554
Unranked
6.40.0
5.25.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1808
Unranked
5.50.8
5.34.5
Auto
Teleop
End