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Red30
10219.9
15546.4
3526.9
Blue12
3711.3
27011.1
52713.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36220103040506070803012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102
Unranked
19.90.3
20.620.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
527
Unranked
13.11.0
10.89.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
352
Unranked
6.90.4
8.58.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
270
Unranked
11.11.0
7.76.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1554
Unranked
6.40.4
5.24.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
371
Unranked
1.31.0
5.34.3
Auto
Teleop
End