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Red47
49611.8
18085.5
52713.1
Blue33
56410.5
5669.1
27011.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252101030404733

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
527
Unranked
13.11.9
9.811.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
270
Unranked
11.10.9
6.77.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
496
Unranked
11.81.9
9.211.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
564
Unranked
10.50.9
5.66.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1808
Unranked
5.51.9
5.57.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
566
Unranked
9.10.9
9.510.4
Auto
Teleop
End