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Red25
16016.0
13581.9
2879.6
Blue33
180313.9
5669.1
53313.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19191525302533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
Unranked
9.60.4
7.78.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
533
Unranked
13.91.2
6.57.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1601
Unranked
6.00.2
6.66.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
1803
Unranked
13.99.3
16.47.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1358
Unranked
1.90.5
5.86.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
566
Unranked
9.11.2
6.77.9
Auto
Teleop
End