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Red36
18085.5
32920.7
17512.7
Blue37
53313.9
27011.1
15373.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2924010204050603637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
Unranked
20.70.7
15.215.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
533
Unranked
13.91.0
10.711.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1808
Unranked
5.50.7
7.48.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
270
Unranked
11.11.0
7.68.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1751
Unranked
2.70.7
5.66.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1537
Unranked
3.71.0
6.67.6
Auto
Teleop
End