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Red8
8842.6
16076.4
54513.7
Blue47
87011.1
5709.2
10219.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26380206080100847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
545
Unranked
13.71.6
11.910.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
102
Unranked
19.90.5
20.521.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1607
Unranked
6.41.6
7.25.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
870
Unranked
11.10.9
7.68.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
884
Unranked
2.61.6
8.56.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
570
Unranked
9.20.9
8.19.0
Auto
Teleop
End