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Red21
180313.9
146811.0
15373.7
Blue17
8842.6
56913.3
3711.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3323010405060702117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1803
Unranked
13.90.8
14.914.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
569
Unranked
13.30.6
14.013.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1468
Unranked
11.00.8
11.110.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
884
Unranked
2.60.6
5.85.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1537
Unranked
3.70.8
5.74.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
371
Unranked
1.30.6
4.43.8
Auto
Teleop
End