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Red32
16359.6
15546.4
12038.7
Blue8
16076.4
15373.7
17512.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26150102030405060328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1635
Unranked
9.60.5
11.512.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1607
Unranked
6.40.5
7.36.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1203
Unranked
8.70.5
9.29.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
1537
Unranked
3.70.5
4.43.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1554
Unranked
6.40.5
4.14.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
1751
Unranked
2.70.5
4.43.8
Auto
Teleop
End