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Red20
16359.6
180313.9
52713.1
Blue58
5709.2
27120.0
15546.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46300204060802058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1803
Unranked
13.91.6
15.213.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
271
Unranked
20.01.3
19.921.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
527
Unranked
13.11.6
16.615.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
570
Unranked
9.21.7
7.39.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1635
Unranked
9.61.6
12.110.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1554
Unranked
6.41.7
4.66.4
Auto
Teleop
End