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Red35
49611.8
160615.9
54513.7
Blue7
15467.7
13581.9
8842.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions469020406080357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1606
Unranked
15.90.4
16.616.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
1546
Unranked
7.70.4
8.07.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
545
Unranked
13.70.4
12.712.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
884
Unranked
2.60.4
3.02.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
496
Unranked
11.80.4
12.211.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
1358
Unranked
1.90.4
2.31.9
Auto
Teleop
End