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Red22
5146.2
5709.2
17512.7
Blue29
12038.7
8714.1
56410.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1824010304050602229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
570
Unranked
9.20.2
9.39.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
564
Unranked
10.50.3
10.711.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
514
Unranked
6.20.2
6.66.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1203
Unranked
8.70.3
8.48.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1751
Unranked
2.70.2
2.52.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
871
Unranked
4.10.3
3.84.1
Auto
Teleop
End