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Red21
35827.9
27120.0
87011.1
Blue65
41716.3
54513.7
50014.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614120801002165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
Unranked
27.90.6
27.827.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
417
Unranked
16.30.4
15.916.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
271
Unranked
20.00.6
19.919.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
500
Unranked
14.60.4
14.314.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
870
Unranked
11.10.6
10.910.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
545
Unranked
13.70.4
13.313.7
Auto
Teleop
End