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Red75
12124.7
23337.3
15685.8
Blue28
4019.7
6913.9
21317.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68510204060801001201407528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
Unranked
37.30.2
36.536.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.5
40
Unranked
19.70.4
20.420.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
121
Unranked
24.70.2
23.824.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
213
Unranked
17.20.4
17.917.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1568
Unranked
5.80.2
5.15.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
69
Unranked
13.90.5
14.814.3
Auto
Teleop
End