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Red46
12616.9
5296.7
175713.0
Blue5
16996.3
19735.6
19758.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391906080100465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
Unranked
16.90.8
15.616.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
1975
Unranked
8.01.4
5.84.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1757
Unranked
13.00.8
15.316.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
1699
Unranked
6.31.4
9.17.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
529
Unranked
6.70.5
6.06.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1973
Unranked
5.61.4
7.15.7
Auto
Teleop
End