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Red34
18931.7
162920.6
19346.6
Blue19
11683.4
15249.6
19047.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281904060803419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
Unranked
20.60.3
15.215.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
1524
Unranked
9.60.1
8.28.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1934
Unranked
6.60.1
6.66.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1904
Unranked
7.81.9
7.85.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1893
Unranked
1.74.8
1.76.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
1168
Unranked
3.40.1
5.75.6
Auto
Teleop
End