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Red0
12210.8
19001.4
18943.1
Blue40
30316.4
162920.6
6149.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions953020406080100040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
Unranked
10.80.8
9.38.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
1629
Unranked
20.60.4
16.616.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1894
Unranked
3.11.2
2.91.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.3
303
Unranked
16.40.4
17.817.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1900
Unranked
1.41.2
2.41.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
614
Unranked
9.60.6
13.112.5
Auto
Teleop
End