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Red41
6027.9
39915.9
17279.1
Blue16
6152.8
14498.7
6117.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27140204060804116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
Unranked
15.91.3
12.814.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
1449
Unranked
8.70.0
3.53.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1727
Unranked
9.10.8
7.98.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
611
Unranked
7.30.0
10.210.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
602
Unranked
7.91.3
4.86.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
615
Unranked
2.80.0
2.22.2
Auto
Teleop
End