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Red70
4495.4
34118.9
15978.4
Blue26
16565.2
6027.9
138910.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2526102030405060707026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
Unranked
18.93.7
16.119.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
1389
Unranked
10.80.0
13.813.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1597
Unranked
8.43.7
7.210.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
602
Unranked
7.90.0
6.16.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
449
Unranked
5.43.7
2.15.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1656
Unranked
5.20.0
6.36.3
Auto
Teleop
End