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Qual 502006 Chesapeake Regional
Red40
3168.5
11237.0
29321.2
Blue16
18953.8
15249.6
14645.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351904060801004016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
Unranked
21.20.4
18.8→19.2
Auto—
Teleop—
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red by 11.6
1524
Unranked
9.60.4
8.8→8.3
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Teleop—
End—
Second
316
Unranked
8.50.6
6.6→7.1
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Teleop—
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red by 3.5
1464
Unranked
5.00.4
7.8→7.4
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Teleop—
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Third
1123
Unranked
7.00.6
8.0→8.5
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Teleop—
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red by 3.1
1895
Unranked
3.80.4
4.7→4.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—