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Red52
29321.2
17484.9
16565.2
Blue13
12210.8
20310.6
11683.4
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2919010405060705213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
Unranked
21.21.2
19.220.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
122
Unranked
10.80.4
8.68.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1656
Unranked
5.22.0
6.38.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
203
Unranked
10.60.6
7.97.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1748
Unranked
4.92.0
2.44.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1168
Unranked
3.40.6
4.13.5
Auto
Teleop
End